8. People forget that Elon was basically treated like a crackpot for *years* before SpaceX successfully launched.
The question it raises is “how many projects have died because their crackpot leaders weren’t well-connected decamillionaires?”
New post:
@alexeyguzey makes a good point about receiving advice:
"Nobody ever got fired for buying IBM applies to advice too and the advice you receive will be systematically biased in favor of safe choices."
Was trying to explain the phenomenon of package theft to my wife, who has lived her entire life in Japan. It did not go over well.
Ruriko: Someone stole an Amazon package?!
Me: Oh no this is a widespread, regular thing.
Ruriko: Like, it happens every week?
Me: No like Xk / day.
Ruriko: ... WHAT?
Me: Yeah.
Ruriko: WAIT WHO KNOWS THIS.
Me: I mean this is a broadly recognized phenomenon.
Ruriko: SO AMAZON AND THE DELIVERY PEOPLE AND THE POLICE KNOW THIS.
Me: Yes.
Ruriko: AND IT STILL HAPPENS!?!
Me: Yes.
Ruriko: WHAT. THE. #%(#)(. AMERICA.
^ “0.04% of papers are retracted. At least 1.9% of papers have duplicate images "suggestive of deliberate manipulation". About 2.5% of scientists admit to fraud, and they estimate that 10% of other scientists have committed fraud. 27% of postdocs said they were willing to select or omit data to improve their results. More than 50% of published findings in psychology are false. The ORI, which makes about 13 misconduct findings per year, gives a conservative estimate of over 2000 misconduct incidents per year. “
I did a 10 wk course on integrity (yep, I know) and the biggest take away was how much we all undervalue our words.
We make light promises, to others and ourselves, and don't keep them. We talk with no intentionally, as if words mean nothing.
Our word loses all its power
visa is making youtube videos @visakanv
The weirdest after effect was when I began to notice that most people also saw their words as near worthless. It messed with my head for a while
someone once said something like "I like how visa says he's going to do something, then immediately does it". it's actually an ADHD coping mechanism. if you ask my friends from my teenage days, they'll tell you I was unreliable, full of shit and you couldn't trust anything I said
^ very interesting threads
Here are the publication records and research topic areas of 63 faculty candidates in the life sciences who interviewed at R1 institutions in 2019-2020.
70% have a first-author paper in Cell, Nature, or Science, 22% have a K99, and 30% have unpublished work on bioRxiv.
Lots of weirdly large swings in mentions of pretty common words in google ngram since 1980s. Does this actually reflect usage, or changing composition of the sources google is using?
^ reason #1857239 to be wary when looking at trends over time
I first read Dostoevsky's "Notes from Underground" when I was 16, but I still think about the "logarithms" rant all the time.
Quarantined section
What's the outlook for covid-19? NPR reports what some coronavirus virologists think:
--not going away
--everyone gets it, or gets a vaccine
--after that, ppl get it again
--upon reinfection causes mild cold-like symptoms.
--children still get it
Aaron Ginn @aginnt
Best of Twitter - Week of August 10, 2020
"China detects the virus "
How did they detect it?
https://bpa-pathology.com/covid19-pcr-tests-are-scientifically-meaningless/
How did they detect a virus whose isolation is as rare as a unicorn?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KGGd7-vvd9Y
https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=The+Rooster+in+the+River+of+Rats
https://www.fluoridefreepeel.ca/health-canada-has-no-record-of-covid-19-virus-isolation/
http://archive.is/dG7QZ#selection-291.185-291.336