Best of Twitter - Week of April 20, 2020 - the effect of reporting and citation biases on the apparent efficacy of treatments
The cumulative effect of reporting and citation biases on the apparent efficacy of treatments: the case of depression
cambridge.org/core/journals/… via @pimcuijpers et al
The way I think of it now is: you never compete against Google. You compete against a PM at Google, who works 9-5 (sorry!), doesn't care 1/100th as much as you do, and has 70 lawyers on his back and 6 months of meetings every time he wants to do something
^ thread
The opposite signs here are pretty eye-popping -- when school's closed, rich kids learn how to read and poor kids forget how to read.
blogs.iadb.org/ideas-matter/e… ht @leecrawfurd
^ straussians assemble
My oldest brother got a job bartending at a nice restaurant when he turned 18. He was nervous, had never done it before.
I asked him how it was going after a week. He thought for a second.
“Just by showing up to work on time every day, I’m the best employee they’ve ever had.”
Brett Berson @brettberson
That happened almost 20 years ago and I still think about it all the time. I used to tell customers all about how we can automate everything for them. Now when someone asks how we’re different, I start by saying, “we’ll respond to every single email you send us right away.”
I mean, we talk all the time about how the "crime boom" from the 1960s to the 1980s helped fuel mass incarceration and the politics of punishment.
But did crime boom? Or did it collapse?
In the 1960s and 1970s, the UCR and NCVS seem to be looking at two different countries.
^ entire thread worth reading
Good, short(👍) book review by @Russwarne of The Great Pretender.
Debunks famous 1973 Rosenhan article claiming eight healthy people, who got admitted to inpatient psychiatric facilities saying hearing voices, then misdiagnose as mentally ill.
russellwarne.com/2020/04/13/sus…
^ “I also was surprised that the ninth “patient,” the one whose data Rosenhan dropped from the study, had told his story in a journal article decades ago–and was almost completely ignored by the professional community. His article (Lando, 1976) had only been cited 5 times before Cahalan published The Great Pretender.”
When you talk to unusually smart and attentive people, you get called out for bad reasoning much more frequently than you normally do.
Scary, because it makes you think - do I always reason this poorly, just that there's no one around who can spot it?
^ yes
Six years ago, scientists restored a paralyzed man's ability to move his arm – but he still had no sensation in the arm. Now they've restored his sense of touch. Once again, science does something that, till recently, would have been seen as a miracle. cell.com/cell/pdf/S0092…
Complex organised behaviours can be computed by evolutionarily preprogrammed circuits outside the brain. https://t.co/4a7NdJznVr
Nature is Scary @NatureisScary
9/ 1 month before $FB IPO, Zuck bought IG.
Sequoia injected $50 mn at $500 mn valuation on April 04, 2012.
Zuck invited IG guys, negotiated the deal in 48 hours, and acquired IG for $1B on April 09, 2012.
Sequoia doubled the money in 5 days.
FB 100x the money in 6 years.
^ very interesting thread on Zuckerberg
Quarantined section
8. Even many academics prove to be 'inauthentic' and 'opportunists' tweeting about things they are inexpert in with false confidence.
Craving the same, sad TV fame.
Basically reading the newspaper one day and tweeting about it the next.
Changing their twitter bios. lol.
BTW, citing the number of weak, tangential, irrelevant studies that support a claim is meaningless.
Go back and look at how many studies support some now debunked claims. It can exceed 5k!
^ reminds me of https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/05/07/5-httlpr-a-pointed-review/
Uncontrolled study of 5 drugs all at once for covid
Scientifically bankrupt
Ethically bankrupt
Covid is pushing us to new research lows
Nick DeVito @NDevito1
Stockholm:
• Sweden has not locked down like most places
• Data show Swedes moving around less than usual, but still plenty of socialising, closer to normal life than most countries
• But data now show more people leaving hospital than entering 📉
^ ?????????