Best of Twitter - September 26- October 8, 2022
Are autocracies better at delivering on growth promises? Not really—a new paper soon out in the JPE argues that the GDP stats are very extremely fake.
Raw GDP figures suggest that autocracies grew by 76%, not 147%, over 2002-2021, much more in line with the democracies, who barely lied at all.
Only 1 of the top 10 fastest-growing countries on raw data was "free", versus 5 of the top 10 when adjusted for satellite imagery.
"Russia losing in Ukraine, protestors overthrowing the government of Iran . . . did your faith waver, anon?"
Synth, Don't Search
this simple gpt3( ) google sheets function generator has saved me HOURS since I got it up and running last week
compare below approach with the process of googling an answer 🤯
I'll eat my macbook if all this doesn't measurably increase global productivity
Language models have become so good that our benchmarks can’t keep up.
It’s like you were looking to measure the rapidly rising temperature in a room, but your themormeters break faster than you can improve them.
Tanya Goyal @tanyaagoyal
self-programming AI:
"a code-generating language model with the ability to modify its own source code is created and then queried to generate new source code for itself; a new iteration of the model is initialized and trained, and the cycle continues"
openreview.net/forum?id=SKat5…
It's always nice to look at the benchmarks used in these papers e.g. GSM8K is a dataset of math questions that require 2-8 steps to solve: github.com/openai/grade-s…
GPT-3 got 10% of them correct, then 41% correct with arxiv.org/pdf/2205.11916…
we're now at 82% with the above model!
